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₴

Ukrainian Hryvnia

UAH · Ukraine

51
High
Risk
Historical Scores
485664Jul 2021Jul 2025Oct 2026
What does this mean for you?

The Ukrainian Hryvnia is under significant pressure, scoring 51 out of 100. This isn't a crisis yet, but things are moving in the wrong direction. If you're saving in this currency, you need to be paying attention — your purchasing power is being eroded.

Your savings need 14.2%/yr returns to not lose value. ₴100 today → ₴89 next year. Calculator ↓

Inflation
12.7%
Debt / GDP
58.7%
GDP Growth
1.8%
FX Volatility
21.6
Governance
Not available
Reserves
5.0 mo
Analysis
What's working well
Limited positive signals
What to watch out for
Restrictions on moving your money out of the country
Banks are struggling — 14% of loans aren't being repaid
Prices rising fast (12.7% per year) — your savings lose value quickly

Savings Impact Calculator

₴
Holding cash in UAH12.7% inflation
₴549−₴451 (45% purchasing power lost)
Your ₴1,000 buys 45% less in 5 years
What if you invested ₴1,000 instead? (5yr, in UAH terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~9.7%/yr from expected UAH depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
₴1385
+₴385
+6.7%/yr net in UAH
S&P 500
₴2460
+₴1460
range: ₴1201–₴4607
10% USD return + 9.7% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
₴2262
+₴1262
range: ₴723–₴5719
8% USD return + 9.7% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
₴4439
+₴3439
range: ₴343–₴23.9k
25% USD return + 9.7% FX · ±54% vol

All values in UAH. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~9.7%/yr based on the inflation differential between Ukraine (12.7%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how UAH ranks differently.